Test a Poll on 10,000 Simulated Voters PRIVATE DEMO

Poll the network, cut it by every demographic we hold, and watch the numbers move like a real sample — in seconds, with no fielding cost. These voters are simulated; every question and every demographic below is drawn from the questions we really ask our members.

SIMULATED PANEL — 10,000 generated pseudo-voters across 41 states / 359 counties. Nothing on this page is real member data. Do not publish these numbers as findings.

1 · The question

Every one of these is either on register_step2.php or in the party forums, so the simulated answers sit on the exact wording your members see.

A written question is answered from each voter's positions, ideology and demographics — so re-cutting the audience changes the result.

2 · The audience (these are the fields our signup form collects)

Ctrl/Cmd-click to select several (mobile: tap the ones you want).

SIMULATED RESULT — 1,000 simulated completes from 10,000 matching pseudo-voters. Margin of error ±4.4%. Not a real poll.

Would you support capping county property tax increases if it meant cutting specific local government services?

Audience: All simulated voters · Question source: From our party forums (the debate threads)

Agree leads with 48.8% — a solid but not commanding lead (7.8 pts over Undecided / Depends on details).

Every segment we hold, ranked. Sort it the way you think about the race:

#SegmentDemographic setn For the leadervs. average
1Strong Republican Party identification 159 98.7% +49.9 pts
2Not-so-strong Republican Party identification 115 90.4% +41.6 pts
3Independent / Leaning Republican Party identification 122 72.1% +23.3 pts
4NJ State 21 71.4% +22.6 pts
5AL State 10 70% +21.2 pts
655-64 Age band 147 64.6% +15.8 pts
7Farmette Location type 96 64.6% +15.8 pts
8Unable to work / Disability Employment 52 63.5% +14.7 pts
965-74 Age band 154 62.3% +13.5 pts
10Debate regular Forum engagement 103 62.1% +13.3 pts
11Retired Employment 212 61.8% +13 pts
12Non-high school graduate Education 83 61.4% +12.6 pts
1375+ Age band 92 60.9% +12.1 pts
14Own my home (with or without a mortgage) Housing 611 60.1% +11.3 pts
15DE State 24 58.3% +9.5 pts
16MS State 12 58.3% +9.5 pts
17UT State 72 58.3% +9.5 pts
18Yes, grandchildren only (not primary dependent children) K-12 children in household 184 58.2% +9.4 pts
19PA State 38 57.9% +9.1 pts
20Country — 5 to 50 acres Location type 133 57.9% +9.1 pts
21Country — 1 to 5 acres Location type 125 57.6% +8.8 pts
22OR State 28 57.1% +8.3 pts
23MT State 21 57.1% +8.3 pts
24KS State 7 57.1% +8.3 pts
25Widowed Marital status 70 57.1% +8.3 pts
26AZ State 36 55.6% +6.8 pts
27Farm Location type 102 54.9% +6.1 pts
28ND State 33 54.5% +5.7 pts
29NM State 37 54.1% +5.3 pts
30DC State 13 53.8% +5 pts
31Country — no acres Location type 122 52.5% +3.7 pts
323 Household size 170 52.4% +3.6 pts
33HI State 27 51.9% +3.1 pts
34Regular poster Forum engagement 310 51.9% +3.1 pts
35$75,000-$99,999 Household income 137 51.8% +3 pts
36Every single election (Primary & General) Voting consistency 408 51.7% +2.9 pts
37Female Gender 475 51.6% +2.8 pts
38VT State 64 51.6% +2.8 pts
39Only in major Presidential elections Voting consistency 185 51.4% +2.6 pts
40Some college / Associate degree / Vocational training Education 284 51.4% +2.6 pts
410 Registered voter status 115 51.3% +2.5 pts
42$100,000-$149,999 Household income 123 51.2% +2.4 pts
43Yes, children in Homeschool programs K-12 children in household 57 50.9% +2.1 pts
44Occasional poster Forum engagement 383 50.9% +2.1 pts
456+ Household size 77 50.6% +1.8 pts
46premium Voice tier 274 50.4% +1.6 pts
47MA State 32 50% +1.2 pts
48ME State 67 49.3% +0.5 pts
49Rarely vote Voting consistency 69 49.3% +0.5 pts
50Divorced / Separated Marital status 126 49.2% +0.4 pts
51Married Marital status 497 49.1% +0.3 pts
52$50,000-$74,999 Household income 224 49.1% +0.3 pts
532 Household size 317 48.9% +0.1 pts
544 Household size 133 48.9% +0.1 pts
55$25,000-$49,999 Household income 205 48.8% +0 pts
561 Registered voter status 885 48.5% -0.3 pts
57No school-aged children or grandchildren in the household K-12 children in household 475 48.4% -0.4 pts
58$150,000+ Household income 91 48.4% -0.4 pts
59free Voice tier 726 48.2% -0.6 pts
60Postgraduate or professional degree (Master’s, Doctorate, Law, Medicine) Education 121 47.9% -0.9 pts

Segments under 5 completes are hidden. "Battlegrounds" sorts the segments closest to a 50/50 tie — that is where message testing earns its money.

Demographic cuts the 5 options

Each option is a bundle of demographic cuts. Option 1 is always included; the rest are the bundles you define. Every cut below is computed from the same simulated response set.

OPTION 1 · Basic Demographics on

Included with every poll. The six cuts every campaign needs on day one.

Age band
75+ — 60.9% (n=92)
65-74 — 62.3% (n=154)
45-54 — 41.6% (n=161)
55-64 — 64.6% (n=147)
18-24 — 40.4% (n=114)
25-34 — 40.4% (n=166)
35-44 — 36.7% (n=166)
Gender
Female — 51.6% (n=475)
Male — 47% (n=496)
Prefer not to say — 40% (n=10)
Non-binary — 31.6% (n=19)
Party identification
Strong Republican — 98.7% (n=159)
Not-so-strong Democrat — 3.7% (n=81)
True Independent / Moderate / Other — 36.5% (n=337)
Strong Democrat — 0% (n=101)
Independent / Leaning Republican — 72.1% (n=122)
Not-so-strong Republican — 90.4% (n=115)
Independent / Leaning Democratic — 15.3% (n=85)
Registered voter status
0 — 51.3% (n=115)
1 — 48.5% (n=885)
State
NJ — 71.4% (n=21)
NH — 38.5% (n=65)
DE — 58.3% (n=24)
FL — 32.3% (n=31)
MS — 58.3% (n=12)
VT — 51.6% (n=64)
MA — 50% (n=32)
ME — 49.3% (n=67)
WY — 35.9% (n=39)
AZ — 55.6% (n=36)
UT — 58.3% (n=72)
AR — 41.4% (n=29)
NV — 38.3% (n=60)
OR — 57.1% (n=28)
AK — 45.5% (n=33)
RI — 47.3% (n=55)
NM — 54.1% (n=37)
DC — 53.8% (n=13)
HI — 51.9% (n=27)
AL — 70% (n=10)
PA — 57.9% (n=38)
LA — 23.1% (n=13)
MT — 57.1% (n=21)
SC — 46.8% (n=47)
ND — 54.5% (n=33)
MD — 40% (n=5)
KS — 57.1% (n=7)
CT — 47.1% (n=17)
ID — 37.5% (n=16)
TN — 0% (n=5)
WV — 47.4% (n=19)
Voting consistency
Almost every election (Major midterms & presidential) — 43.2% (n=296)
Every single election (Primary & General) — 51.7% (n=408)
Only in major Presidential elections — 51.4% (n=185)
First-time participant (Future Voter) — 47.6% (n=42)
Rarely vote — 49.3% (n=69)

OPTION 2 · Bundle A — Household & Family switched off

Who is actually at the kitchen table: marital status, household size, children, housing, density.

Switch this option on

OPTION 3 · Bundle B — Economic Profile switched off

Pocketbook voters: education, employment situation, household income.

Switch this option on

OPTION 4 · Bundle C — Civic Participation switched off

Will they actually show up (and do they talk about it): voting consistency, voice tier, forum engagement.

Switch this option on

OPTION 5 · Bundle D — Issue & Debate Positions on

What they already told us on the signup questionnaire and in the party forums — the deepest cut we hold.

Infrastructure & roads stance
5 — 49.4% (n=697)
4 — 24.5% (n=196)
6 — 89.7% (n=107)
Public safety funding stance
5 — 74.4% (n=454)
4 — 29.5% (n=474)
3 — 0% (n=62)
6 — 100% (n=10)
School funding / choice stance
5 — 80.1% (n=386)
3 — 2.4% (n=123)
4 — 32% (n=463)
6 — 100% (n=28)
Regulation & business stance
5 — 83.7% (n=325)
3 — 1.1% (n=183)
4 — 38% (n=445)
6 — 100% (n=45)
Federal economy stance
5 — 88.8% (n=304)
3 — 4% (n=175)
4 — 38.8% (n=502)
6 — 100% (n=16)
Abortion stance
5 — 59.9% (n=387)
3 — 1% (n=104)
4 — 22.3% (n=318)
6 — 97.3% (n=182)
7 — 100% (n=7)
Property-tax cap debate
2 — 100% (n=94)
0 — 0% (n=410)
1 — 100% (n=394)
-1 — 0% (n=102)
Parental-notification debate
1 — 80.8% (n=323)
-1 — 6.1% (n=180)
-2 — 0% (n=21)
0 — 36.5% (n=406)
2 — 97.1% (n=70)
Biological sex in sports debate
1 — 85.4% (n=301)
0 — 36.9% (n=398)
-1 — 9.2% (n=207)
2 — 100% (n=65)
-2 — 0% (n=29)
Single-sex spaces debate
1 — 84.7% (n=321)
-1 — 5.3% (n=187)
0 — 35.6% (n=413)
-2 — 0% (n=20)
2 — 100% (n=59)
Policing vs. community safety debate
1 — 78.1% (n=347)
-1 — 8.5% (n=189)
0 — 40.5% (n=415)
2 — 100% (n=33)
-2 — 0% (n=16)
Senate/SCOTUS reform debate
1 — 89.5% (n=304)
-1 — 3.9% (n=181)
0 — 39.6% (n=503)
2 — 100% (n=10)

This is the demo. The workspace is where you work.

The demo runs one poll at a time. In the pollster workspace you write and save your own polls, keep an audience template per race, re-run them as opinion moves, and compare runs side by side.

Open the pollster workspace →

Private demo · token-gated · noindex · not linked publicly. Panel seeded from the same fields our members complete at register_step2.php.